What the Golden Globes winners mean for the Oscars

The Golden Globes were announced today and while they were not televised and the spectacle was not made as usual, the impact on the Oscar's was very real. There were quite a few surprises tonight and some that may have big effects on Oscar chances.
First, Juno was hurt big time today, real big. Ellen Page losing Best Actress in comedy/musical to Marion Cotillard was not only unexpected but really sealed the deal for Julie Christie come Oscar night. However, Juno losing to Sweeney Todd in the Best Picture for comedy/musical was a huge hit. It was expected to walk away with this one easily and it didn't. This hurts Juno's chances for Best Picture and puts it as a real borderline contender now. It needs a PGA nomination tomorrow morning or it's done. Michael Clayton also did not win any of it's nominations, the difference being that it was not expected to and it's in a much more competitive category. I believe Michael Clayton is in better shape for Best Picture, but it also really could use a PGA nomination tomorrow.
Second, Atonement got a huge, huge boost today with the win over No Country for Old Men. Atonement has been so beloved by Europe but not as much by America and it was considered to be hanging by a thread to even get nominated for Best Picture. The win pretty much locks it up to get nominated, but does it give it a chance to win like it once was thought to have? Probably not, as No Country for Old Men and There Will Be Blood will probably have the best chance (although watch out for Into the Wild if it is nominated).
Last, the biggest surprise was Julian Schnabel for The Diving Bell and the Butterfly winning Best Director over Joel and Ethan Coen for No Country for Old Men. The Coen brothers have pretty much swept the precursors (with the occasional win for Paul T. Anderson, who was not nominated ironically) so this was a big surprise. However, the Foreign Press really likes this film and it does not shock me that he won, I believe the American Press will feel differently.
So, as the PGA nominations come tomorrow we are that close to all the precursor's to the Oscar nominations. We were hoping that after tomorrow things would be much clearer as to what the Oscar nominations will be, but that does not look like the case. If anything, January 22nd may be the most exciting Oscar nominations ever announced and I truly can't wait for that day.