Updated Predictions for Oscars!

Here are my updated predictions for the Oscar race for 2007. These will likely be my last update until my final predictions in a couple of weeks. I will do screenplay predictions on my final list but not before.

Best Picture
1) No Country for Old Men (Lock)
2) Atonement (95% chance)
3) Into the Wild (75% chance with buzz growing)
4) There Will Be Blood (75% chance with buzz growing)
5) Michael Clayton (60% chance, losing buzz but still my choice at this point)

Best Director
1) Joel and Ethan Coen - No Country for Old Men (Lock)
2) Joe Wright - Atonement (Lock)
3) Tim Burton - Sweeney Todd (95% chance)
4) Paul T. Anderson - There Will Be Blood (90% chance)
5) Sean Penn - Into the Wild (75% chance)

Best Actor
1) George Clooney - Michael Clayton (Lock)
2) Daniel -Day Lewis - There Will Be Blood (Lock)
3) Johnny Depp - Sweeney Todd (95% chance)
4) Viggo Mortenson - Eastern Promises (85% chance)
5) Emile Hirsch - Into the Wild (75% chance, gaining buzz over other contenders)

Best Actress
1) Ellen Page - Juno (Lock)
2) Marion Cotillard - La Vi En Rose (Lock)
3) Julie Christie - Away From Her (Lock)
4) Angelina Jolie - A Mighty Heart (90% chance)
5) Amy Adams - Enchanted (75% chance, is it too "light"?)

Best Supporting Actor
1) Javier Bardem - No Country for Old Men (Lock)
2) Casey Affleck - The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford (Lock)
3) Tom Wilkinson - Michael Clayton (Lock)
4) Phillip Seymour Hoffman - Charlie Wilson's War (90% chance)
5) Hal Holbrook - Into the Wild (80% chance)

Best Supporting Actress
1) Cate Blanchett - Into the Wild (Lock)
2) Amy Ryan - Gone Baby Gone (Lock)
3) Tilda Swinton - Michael Clayton (Lock)
4) Catherine Keener - Into the Wild (90% chance)
5) Vanessa Redgrave - Atonement (75% chance, no idea who has this last spot at the moment)